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4 NFL Picks Against The Spread for Week 1

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) over Tennessee Titans

Throughout the entire draft process there was one continued theme, “Jameis’ learning curve will be smaller than Marcus’.” So here we are in Week 1, and the game is listed essentially as a pick (home team gets three points by default). Both teams have issues all over the field and there are injury concerns for each team. Tampa Bay was 0-8 at home last year, so they will be itching to start this year off much better.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills – OVER 46

The Bills have an excellent defense, but there’s just no stopping Andrew Luck and the Colts offense. So then it just comes down to whether or not the Bills can put up enough offense to get the total over the number. Surprisingly, I think Tyrod Taylor is going to fare well early in the season before opposing defensive coordinators can adjust. Indy’s D is not particularly good, so the Bills should be able to at least score 20. Add it all up, the game should get to the total no problem.

San Francisco 49ers over Minnesota Vikings (-2.5)

The Vikings are the trendy pick in 2015, and this game is the trendiest of them all for the public. But, this is a still a young quarterback going across the country on prime time TV against a defense that still has quite a bit of talent. It’s Adrian Peterson’s first game back in a year and he’ll have to get the wheels going on the worst surface in the NFL. It’s really just a pick against the public, because we all know, Sunday’s never go as perceived.

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears – UNDER 50

The Packers have a dynamite offensive line and run game, while the Bears front is better than last season, but still weak. The Packers will pound away at the clock on the road in hostile territory and move the ball on the ground with ease. Chicago’s offense is already in trouble without Brandon Marshall, the injury to Kevin White, and a less than 100% Alshon Jeffery, and that’s before we even take into consideration their struggles against the Packers. When the spread was four, Green Bay was a great side, but now that it’s pushed to a full touchdown, the under is the better play.


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